Weekly News – May 17

Red Lobster on the chopping block, Judge Isgur stepping down, ConvergeOne exclusive opportunism, Diamond Sports behind in the count, cracks in private credit, and much, much more… ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­  

Creditor Corner

for the week ended March May 17, 2024

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BREAKING NEWS

Red Lobster on the chopping block, Judge Isgur stepping down, ConvergeOne exclusive opportunism, Diamond Sports behind in the count, cracks in private credit, and much, much more…


FEATURED CONTENT

Bruce Richards on the Markets:

Stay Bullish, My Friends

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Tweet of the Week

the golden age of credit…

Exclusive Content

Red Lobster on the chopping block…

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Exclusive Content

changing of the guard…

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“standing in front of the confirmation express train”

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Our take:

It is not “bad policy” to subject exclusive investment opportunities to a market test… it is much worse policy to allow subsets of lenders to siphon value from other lenders, see below:

In the News

exclusive opportunism hits recoveries…

Key Quote:

“For companies exiting bankruptcy so far in 2024, first-lien recoveries have been roughly 50%, he said, compared with an average of 74% in 2021 and 2022.”

In the News

cracks in private credit…

Our take:

Are we seeing cracks in the private credit universe?? 

Are private lenders struggling to source product??

Exclusive Content

behind in the count in the 9th inning… will they make it??

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What We’re Reading

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Podcast of the Week

Armen Panossian co-CEO of Oaktree & Josh Clarkson of Prosek

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Private Credit Primer

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Next major default interest case…

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Featured Content


Stay Bullish, My Friends


CPI gave the market exactly what it needed, in line with expectations after 3 months of worsening above line #’s. CPI YoY results for headline/core are 3.4%/3.6%, respectively.


Core goods continues to be disinflationary, led by a significant drop in the price for used vehicles.


Services inflation is at a slower pace than the last three months, including OER which is continuing to slowly subside. Although there are signs that the pace of inflation may be abating, the 3-month annualized pace of core services ex-OER/rent is still 6.3%.


The 3-month annualized pace of Core CPI is also still far above Fed target at 4.1%, so we would need to see continued disinflation for a sustained period to get back down towards 2%.


When the Fed does begin to cut its Funds rate, they will go slowly, and then hold for a longer period than markets expect, before taking their next baby step. Expect a higher R* in the future v. what we observed over the past decade. Net-net, number is bullish, yet the Fed will stay Higher for Longer. It’s Goldilocks for Credit.



To follow Bruce’s thoughts on the markets, investing and more, follow @bruce_markets

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